Tropical Storm Irene tracking a bit farther north

Irene is holding at 50 mph max sustained winds as of the latest advisory (5 pm EDT), but the inner core is showing signs of better organization. Another important development is the forecast track now takes the storm directly over Puerto Rico and along the...

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Emily heads for Hispaniola

Early this morning as of 5am there has been little overall change in Emily’s strength or structure. The storm is expected to brush Puerto Rico before making landfall in Hispaniola this afternoon and tonight. Thereafter the forecast becomes more uncertain due to the expected land...

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Emily continues on but she is disorganized

In a classic example of wind shear inhibiting a tropical system, Emily’s center has become exposed to the west of the deepest convection. If this trend continues it is likely the storm will struggle to make it past the high terrain of Hispaniola and Cuba...

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Emily continues to be disorganized as it moves westward

Tropical storm Emily continues to push a little farther west than initially expected and has not yet made a northerly turn. Official forecasts have this turn occurring very soon. With this in mind it raises the interesting prospect the circulation center may survive Hispaniola. It...

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