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Emily: Will it survive?

Aug 02, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,Polar Vortex,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

This morning Emily continues with little change in strength and remains a minimal tropical storm. It appears some dry air is inhibiting any real intensification and there are some unfavorable winds aloft. The question is will it survive? The answer reamains unknown. The main issue if it overcomes its current environment is Hispaniola as mentioned in previous posts. Current intensity guidance suggests that if it does it will not attain hurricane strength as opposed to last night. The track now keeps it just east of Florida during the weekend which is a trend to the right from previous thinking. At this point I would suggest residents from FL to the Carolinas should keep an eye on Emily just in case.

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