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 Archive | May

5/25/2012 Tropical Update – Bud weakening but expected to make landfall, Eyes on the Atlantic for the weekend

May 25, 2012

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,Polar Vortex,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

Hurricane Bud briefly underwent rapid intensification to a category 3 with 115 mph max sustained winds. This however didn’t last long as the storm is now interacting with land and cooler waters. Bud is back down to a category 1 with 80 mph max sustained winds as it begins to near the MX coast as of  11am PDT. It is becoming apparent that the likely greatest concern will be inland flooding and mudslides as torrential rains drench elevated terrain. The storm will then rapidly dissipate over the weekend.

In the Atlantic all eyes are on Invest 94L northwest of the Bahamas as it stands a good chance of developing into a tropical system. It is certainly not what Memorial Day weekend travelers would like to see, but it is a possibility. Chances stand at 70% within the next 48 hours. If this storm does develop it could bring soaking rains to GA and SC. Stay tuned!

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Morning Tropical Udate – 5/23/2012 – Alberto no longer tropical, Watching Bud

May 23, 2012

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,Polar Vortex,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

Alberto has become a post-tropical remnant low well off the Eastern Seaboard. The system no longer has warm core tropical characteristics. The basin has fallen quiet once again.

In the East Pacific Bud continues northwestward and is expected to turn more northerly over the next couple of days. Forecasts no longer call for the system to reach hurricane strength. Considerable uncertainty remains as the storm approaches the MX at the end of this week. The upper level steering winds may keep the system from making landfall all together. It may stall or retrograde away from the coast. All interests along the MX Pacific Coast should continue to monitor the progress of Bud.

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Morning Tropical Update 5/22/2012 – Alberto weakens, Watching Bud in the Pacific

May 22, 2012

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,Polar Vortex,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

Alberto has weakened this morning to a depression in the Atlantic due to colder water temps and unfavorable upper level conditions. This system is no longer any threat to land and will likely dissipate as it moves northeastward out to sea.

In the Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Bud has emerged and will likely turn northward towards the Mexican Coast. There is some considerable uncertainty as to exact timing of a landfall but it is possible this weekend. Bud may reach hurricane strength and interests along the MX Pacific Coast need to monitor this system this week.

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Tropics: 5/20 Morning Update – Alberto lingers off SC

May 20, 2012

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,Polar Vortex,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

As of this morning Alberto remains a tropical storm and is drifting slowly west-southwestward off the coast of South Carolina. At this time a direct landfall is not expected but some gusty winds and rain may impact the shore areas there. There is a tropical storm watch along the SC coast and it is possible some tropical storm conditions may reach the beaches later today or on Monday. Little change in strength is forecast during this time. Alberto is not forecast to make actual landfall and, after a southwestward drift today, it is likely going to turn northeastward and accelerate out to sea.

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Tropical Storm Alberto forms off the Carolinas! Earliest storm since 2003.

May 19, 2012

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,Polar Vortex,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

As of 5pm EDT on 5/19/2012 Tropical Storm Alberto has developed with max sustained winds of 45 mph. Forecast uncertainties remain due to weak steering flow in the upper atmosphere. This may warrant tropical storm watches tonight for the Carolinas as it is not far off shore and could threaten the coast. At this time some modest strengthening is possible.

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Tropics – The East Pacific Springs To Life Early!

May 14, 2012

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,Polar Vortex,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

The East Pacfic has come to life early in terms of tropical weather. Tropical Depression One-E has developed well south of the Mexican Coast several weeks before the official start of the 2012 Hurricane Season. It is no threat to land but it is an interesting development. It is too early to tell if this implies a busy year but none the less it seems we already off to the races!

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