National Terrorism Advisory System (NTAS) check current status National Terrorism
  Advisory System
Telephone/Fax: 877-932-5378
Email: info@earlyalert.com
 Archive | August

12pm EDT: Irene inland, flooding now the main concern

Aug 28, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

Tropical Storm Irene is making its way inland through New York and New England. The winds will die off slowly as this system weakens and becomes extra-tropical. The main concern now will be flooding from heavy rainfall, especially in New Jersey.

0
Share |

9:30am EDT: Irene moves into the Northeast, Jose develops

Aug 28, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

Irene is rapidly moving inland as of 9:30am EDT and after making its 2nd landfall in NJ it passed through New York City. It also has been downgraded to a tropical storm with further weakening and an extra-tropical transition now expected.

One other interesting note is the rapid development of Tropical Storm Jose south of Bermuda. This system will likely impact that island today before continuing northward and weakening at sea. This storm is not expected to impact the US.

0
Share |

6am EDT: Irene makes landfall in NJ, and continues towards LI

Aug 28, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

Irene continues as a minimal hurricane with max sustained winds of 75 mph.  The storm is centered on the Jersey Shore after making landfall near the Little Egg Inlet. Irene will approach Long Island this morning. While I feel not many will see true sustained hurricane conditions, wind gusts of that strength still may be seen, especially with heavier rains. In New York City itself flying debris and glass may become an issue, especially being there will be higher winds near the building tops.

0
Share |

7pm EDT: Hurricane Irene continues north-northeast up the coast

Aug 27, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

After lashing Eastern NC last night through late today Irene is finally exiting the state. The storm is on track to impact points north to Long Island and New England. Interestingly it looked to be slightly better organized after landfall as opposed to before and shortly after. The storm will re-emerge into the Atlantic tonight.

0
Share |

8:00am EDT: Irene makes landfall near Cape Lookout, NC

Aug 27, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

90 mph sustained winds with gusts to 110 mph were reported at the Cedar Island ferry terminal in Carteret county this morning. This was just prior to landfall of Irene’s center near Cape Lookout, NC. Damage is most certainly occurring and the storm will continue north-northeastward today.

0
Share |

7:20am EDT: Irene to make landfall this morning in NC

Aug 27, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

As of 7:20am EDT Irene is very close to making landfall somewhere near or just east of Beaufort, NC. Hurricane conditions are likely ongoing in that vicinity now. Gusts over hurricane force have already been observed in Eastern NC. We will have to wait in see what the eventual impact will be. So far the forecast track is holding.

0
Share |

Hurricane Irene weakens slightly, but remains a large storm

Aug 26, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

Hurricane Irene has weakened slightly as of the 11am advisory to 105 mph max sustained winds. This evidenced by the lack of an organized inner core on the southwest side of the storm in recent imagery. With this in mind it is a very large storm in coverage so impacts will still be felt, and for some they will still be significant. In particular the storm surge could be higher than the category number would suggest due to the areal coverage of this hurricane.

0
Share |

Irene continues north: Hurricane warnings issued

Aug 26, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

Irene continues northward this morning as of 8am EDT. The storm is now slightly below major hurricane status with max sustained winds of 110 mph. Despite this slight weakening it is still a dangerous storm. Residents from Carolinas to NJ should already be prepared as hurricane warnings have been issued from NC to NJ. Tropical storm warnings cover much of the SC coast. Irene is a large system so its impact will be far reaching.

0
Share |

Irene continues her approach to the Eastern US.

Aug 25, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

In a quick update this evening Irene continues on a trajectory that will likely result in serious impacts from the Carolinas through New England. It is with this in mind that watches and warnings have been expanded to included much of the Eastern Seaboard. The storm continues as a category 3 storm and has shown signs recently it might be trying to strengthen once again. Pressures have fallen and the eye has shown up once again. The overall forecast remains relatively unchanged with a bit of a nudge west in NC. This would mean a few more inland impacts are possible there. Stay tuned!

0
Share |

Hurricane Irene: 120 mph winds, East Coast threat

Aug 24, 2011

Tags:Dr. Grey,Dr. Klotzbach,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Outlook,Hurricane Prediction,Hurricane Season 2011,Hurricane Season 2012,HUrricane Season Update,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Polar Vortex,Summer Cool Down,Tropical,Tropics,Weather,Winter

As of 5pm EDT not much has changed with Hurricane Irene in terms of the forecast track. As per the NHC forecast, the center of the storm will likely pass near or over the Outer Banks of NC as a major hurricane on Saturday afternoon. Prior to this Irene may peak out as a category 4 storm.

Beyond NC the questions remain for the Northeast and New England. There has not been a substantial hurricane in this area of the country for years, and it if course is highly populated. The impact has the potential to be very large, especially if it takes a more westerly course over Western LI, NYC, or even NJ. Timing for this appears to be on Sunday, but it should be stressed there is considerable uncertainty in the track, intensity etc. when it gets that far north. There are still a lot of questions to answer between now and then!

0
Share |